
As the countdown to the 2024 elections continues, former President Donald Trump maintains a lead over President Joe Biden in several key swing states, setting the stage for a closely watched electoral contest.
Panic in Washington as even CBS News says, "We've seen a slew of polls now that show that Americans — many of them, a majority of them — think that the economy was better under Trump than under Biden." WATCH pic.twitter.com/twASUNo8vo
— Simon Ateba (@simonateba) May 9, 2024
Recent polling data from reputable sources such as Harvard/Harris, Echelon Insights, and Rasmussen Reports consistently show Trump ahead of Biden in voter preferences. The Harvard/Harris poll, conducted from May 15 to May 19, revealed Trump’s commanding lead with 47% of the vote compared to Biden’s 36%. Even with the inclusion of third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Trump maintained a substantial advantage.
Echelon Insights’ poll echoed similar results, indicating Trump’s dominance with 49% support, while Rasmussen Reports showed a significant 10-percentage-point lead over Biden among likely U.S. voters.
Although the Morning Consult poll depicted a tighter race, Trump maintained a slight edge, leading Biden by one percentage point.
Projections at Polymarket further underscore Trump’s favorable standing, with 55% of participants betting on his victory, indicating a notable lead over Biden.
As poll aggregating X account Interactive Polls noted in a post on X, this is Trump’s “greatest lead” over his challenger since March 10.
.@Polymarket – Presidential Election Winner
🟥 Trump 55% (+16)
🟦 Biden 39%
🟨 RFK Jr 2%Trump's greatest lead since March 10.https://t.co/FHYS1YtBzk https://t.co/ytlQYJyYA0 pic.twitter.com/328yPfOxZA
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) May 22, 2024
Trump’s stronghold extends to pivotal battleground states such as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, where he maintains a 3.6-percentage-point lead over Biden, according to RealClear Polling’s average of multiple polls.
nalysts attribute Trump’s sustained lead to various factors, including a decline in undecided voters and an increase in support among minority groups. While acknowledging Biden’s continued appeal among black voters, Rep. James Clyburn (D-SC) acknowledged Trump’s growing influence within minority communities.
Matthew Wilson, a professor at Southern Methodist University, highlighted the significance of shifting voting preferences among minority voters, citing both survey data and electoral outcomes as evidence of this trend.
Trump’s enduring popularity underscores the heightened anticipation surrounding the upcoming debates, as voters closely scrutinize the candidates’ performances and policy positions leading up to Election Day.