RFK Jr. Endorsement Of Trump Could Reshape Battleground States

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s decision to step back from his independent run and endorse President Donald Trump has sparked new dynamics in several key battleground states. Polls from Tony Fabrizio, a Trump campaign pollster, suggest that Kennedy’s move could provide Trump with a vital edge in areas where the 2024 election is expected to be closely contested.

Before suspending his independent bid, Kennedy was polling at 3% to 5% in states like Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan. Fabrizio’s data reveals that most of Kennedy’s supporters are now shifting their allegiance to Trump over Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. In Arizona, 53% of RFK Jr.’s backers now support Trump, while just 28% align with Harris.

Although Kennedy’s share of the vote might seem small, these percentages are critical in battleground states, where even a slight shift can alter the overall outcome. In Georgia, Trump gains a net 13% advantage over Harris among former Kennedy voters. In Michigan, the edge is only 2%, but in places like North Carolina, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, Trump secures between 16% and 21% more of Kennedy’s supporters.

RealClearPolitics polling averages show that these battlegrounds are in a dead heat, with Trump and Harris separated by less than 2% in many of these states. With razor-thin margins in states like Arizona and Pennsylvania, RFK Jr.’s endorsement could be the decisive factor in the final outcome. As the race tightens, Kennedy’s influence may prove to be a key piece in determining who wins the White House.